Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000104 0.000116 0.000130 0.000145 0.000162 0.000180 0.000201
2024-10-06 0.000087 0.000103 0.000122 0.000146 0.000173 0.000205 0.000244
2024-10-13 0.000073 0.000092 0.000115 0.000144 0.000181 0.000226 0.000283
2024-10-20 0.000064 0.000084 0.000110 0.000145 0.000191 0.000249 0.000328
2024-10-27 0.000057 0.000078 0.000106 0.000146 0.000201 0.000273 0.000375
2024-11-03 0.000050 0.000071 0.000101 0.000144 0.000206 0.000290 0.000416
2024-11-10 0.000045 0.000068 0.000099 0.000147 0.000217 0.000317 0.000471
2024-11-17 0.000041 0.000063 0.000095 0.000146 0.000223 0.000336 0.000516
2024-11-24 0.000037 0.000059 0.000093 0.000146 0.000230 0.000358 0.000567
2024-12-01 0.000034 0.000055 0.000089 0.000145 0.000235 0.000375 0.000612
2024-12-08 0.000031 0.000052 0.000086 0.000143 0.000239 0.000393 0.000659
2024-12-15 0.000028 0.000049 0.000083 0.000143 0.000245 0.000413 0.000710
2024-12-22 0.000026 0.000047 0.000081 0.000143 0.000252 0.000436 0.000772
2024-12-29 0.000024 0.000044 0.000079 0.000144 0.000260 0.000461 0.000838
2025-01-05 0.000022 0.000042 0.000076 0.000142 0.000264 0.000481 0.000896
2025-01-12 0.000021 0.000040 0.000075 0.000143 0.000272 0.000507 0.000968
2025-01-19 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000144 0.000280 0.000535 0.001047
2025-01-26 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000142 0.000283 0.000552 0.001105
2025-02-02 0.000017 0.000035 0.000071 0.000144 0.000295 0.000587 0.001203
2025-02-09 0.000016 0.000033 0.000069 0.000143 0.000299 0.000608 0.001274
2025-02-16 0.000015 0.000032 0.000067 0.000144 0.000306 0.000636 0.001360
2025-02-23 0.000014 0.000030 0.000065 0.000142 0.000309 0.000655 0.001430
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000029 0.000063 0.000141 0.000313 0.000675 0.001504